JobsGate - 100.6 Million Unemployed Americans Marginalized
If you gave up hope of a job you are one of 100,663 million Americans out of a job, yet labor department reports "unemployment rate" dropped. Who's tweeking the numbers here? Look at the numbers below and see how the JOBSGATE trick works...
Technically the numbers aren't really fudged the correct numbers are in plain view, but the state-run media backing the Obama Administration only picks and chooses which numbers they like best. The real unemployment number climed by more than 2.3 million more Americans "dropped" out or "not in workforce" in January 2012. Why aren't those people being counted. I'm sure when the vote comes on November 8, Obama and all the politicians running for the Whitehouse would want them counted. Why 100.6 million Americans are not being counted? Here is your answer from DOL and raw data below... Of the 242,269 million working-age-able-bodied Americans only 63.7 percent are counted as part of the labor force, 154,395 million, but only 58.5 percent of this group are currently either counted as "employed" or "unemployed". The rest, 87,854 millions are labelled as "not in labor force." Therefore, the real unemployment number is 41.5 percent, just from the raw data below. Why don't the media tell this story instead, as one of the 41.5 percenter, I feel very marginalized and insignificant.
You see the "official unemployment number" - jobsgate, is achieved by doing this simple math... as people stop looking for work they are pushed into the group "not in labor force." So now the number of people being counted as participating in the job economy is lowered, that is what is driving the "official" number down. Don't think for once that it means more people are getting jobs - it is the exact opposite, in this case it means more and more Americans are loosing jobs and are no longer qualified for unemployment inusurance benefit - so the government no longer counts them as part of the job market. How can you stomach this..., I can't, that is why I publish these numbers here for you to see for yourselves.
What this means is that the closer you get to November 8, more Americans are going to run out of their 99 weeks unemployment benefits and dropped into the "not in labor force" bucket - the result will be a lower "official unemployment rate." What you need to watch out for is the table below that lists all the population numbers. As you can see below the "civilian labor force" continues to decline at a greater pace than the growth of people being born and growing up to 20 years of age.
In order for unemployment situation to get better, more jobs has to be created than the number of people running out of unemployment checks. The numbers below indicate that in January only 847,000 people got new jobs. While over 1,177,000 dropped out of the system into the deadend bucket labeled "not in labor force." That's a net decline of 330,000 people who are no longer even looking for work and have lost all government benefits. You can see this trend month after month.
We've been at the statistical point in the unemployment problem where the "official number" can go nowhere but down since it peaked in April 2010 at 9.9 percent. See the last table below for the last 10 years of "official unemployment" reported by the government. From April 2010 to January 2012, there has been a steady decline in the percent, while millions more Americans have been loosing their jobs. The key here is to understand that this is all a mathematical trick. Never go by the percentage. Go by the raw numbers and you can never be deceived. Percentages were invented to give perspective and correlate, but percentages don't tell the truth. Don't get me started on this topic... Just pay attention to how many of your family, fans, and friends are out of work. The mainstream media should be ashamed of itself for not telling the truth.
Just as new jobs affect the unemployment rate, the number of people dropping out of the work force also affects the unemployment rate. What business could survive by just looking at just one side of the balance sheet? In this case the lower "official" number has been for the last year been impacted at a greater proportion by people dropping off or running out of unemployment benefits. This downward trend will continue, unless Obama extend the unemployment benefits pass 99 weeks.
For instance, lets count 99 weeks backwards. That is 99 divided by 52 equals just under 2 years. So all the people who lost their jobs since 2009 and have not yet found work are going to be dropped from the system gradually over the next couple months. Since unemployment peaked back in April 2010, when the "offical" number was being no longer affected by job growth, but rather labor force reduction, the news media should have been following that side of the cycle. You continue to hear them focus on new jobs, no one is focusing the issue of greater impact which is those workers who are loosing benefits and hope of a new job. I think I've made my point. What side of the cycle are you on.
"Persons marginally attached to the labor force are those who currently are neither working nor looking for work but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work sometime in the past 12 months. Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached, have given a job-market related reason for not currently looking for work. Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work but have had to settle for a part-time schedule. Updated population controls are introduced annually with the release of January data." http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t01.htm
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Table A-1. Employment status of the civilian population by sex and age: Employment status, sex, and age |
Not seasonally adjusted | Seasonally adjusted(1) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jan. 2011 |
Dec. 2011 |
Jan. 2012 |
Jan. 2011 |
Sept. 2011 |
Oct. 2011 |
Nov. 2011 |
Dec. 2011 |
Jan. 2012 |
|
|
TOTAL: Civilian noninstitutional population |
238,704 | 240,584 | 242,269 | 238,704 | 240,071 | 240,269 | 240,441 | 240,584 | 242,269 |
|
Civilian labor force |
152,536 | 153,373 | 153,485 | 153,250 | 154,004 | 154,057 | 153,937 | 153,887 | 154,395 |
|
Participation rate |
63.9 | 63.8 | 63.4 | 64.2 | 64.1 | 64.1 | 64.0 | 64.0 | 63.7 |
|
Employed |
137,599 | 140,681 | 139,944 | 139,330 | 140,107 | 140,297 | 140,614 | 140,790 | 141,637 |
|
Employment-population ratio |
57.6 | 58.5 | 57.8 | 58.4 | 58.4 | 58.4 | 58.5 | 58.5 | 58.5 |
|
Unemployed |
14,937 | 12,692 | 13,541 | 13,919 | 13,897 | 13,759 | 13,323 | 13,097 | 12,758 |
|
Unemployment rate |
9.8 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
|
Not in labor force |
86,168 | 87,212 | 88,784 | 85,454 | 86,067 | 86,213 | 86,503 | 86,697 | 87,874 |
|
Persons who currently want a job |
6,643 | 6,135 | 6,495 | 6,412 | 6,240 | 6,407 | 6,595 | 6,385 | 6,319 |
|
Men, 16 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population |
115,828 | 116,832 | 116,808 | 115,828 | 116,559 | 116,664 | 116,755 | 116,832 | 116,808 |
|
Civilian labor force |
81,103 | 82,019 | 81,298 | 81,604 | 82,142 | 82,199 | 82,341 | 82,373 | 82,070 |
|
Participation rate |
70.0 | 70.2 | 69.6 | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.3 |
|
Employed |
72,307 | 74,837 | 73,772 | 73,785 | 74,435 | 74,492 | 74,975 | 75,235 | 75,288 |
|
Employment-population ratio |
62.4 | 64.1 | 63.2 | 63.7 | 63.9 | 63.9 | 64.2 | 64.4 | 64.5 |
|
Unemployed |
8,796 | 7,181 | 7,526 | 7,819 | 7,707 | 7,707 | 7,366 | 7,138 | 6,781 |
|
Unemployment rate |
10.8 | 8.8 | 9.3 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.3 |
|
Not in labor force |
34,725 | 34,813 | 35,510 | 34,224 | 34,417 | 34,465 | 34,414 | 34,459 | 34,739 |
|
Men, 20 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population |
107,203 | 108,290 | 108,087 | 107,203 | 107,994 | 108,104 | 108,203 | 108,290 | 108,087 |
|
Civilian labor force |
78,346 | 79,288 | 78,710 | 78,594 | 79,241 | 79,291 | 79,440 | 79,436 | 79,234 |
|
Participation rate |
73.1 | 73.2 | 72.8 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 73.3 | 73.4 | 73.4 | 73.3 |
|
Employed |
70,360 | 72,812 | 71,892 | 71,593 | 72,340 | 72,379 | 72,846 | 73,080 | 73,170 |
|
Employment-population ratio |
65.6 | 67.2 | 66.5 | 66.8 | 67.0 | 67.0 | 67.3 | 67.5 | 67.7 |
|
Unemployed |
7,986 | 6,477 | 6,818 | 7,001 | 6,901 | 6,912 | 6,594 | 6,356 | 6,064 |
|
Unemployment rate |
10.2 | 8.2 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 8.3 | 8.0 | 7.7 |
|
Not in labor force |
28,857 | 29,001 | 29,377 | 28,609 | 28,753 | 28,813 | 28,763 | 28,854 | 28,853 |
|
Women, 16 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population |
122,876 | 123,753 | 125,461 | 122,876 | 123,512 | 123,605 | 123,686 | 123,753 | 125,461 |
|
Civilian labor force |
71,433 | 71,354 | 72,187 | 71,646 | 71,862 | 71,858 | 71,596 | 71,514 | 72,326 |
|
Participation rate |
58.1 | 57.7 | 57.5 | 58.3 | 58.2 | 58.1 | 57.9 | 57.8 | 57.6 |
|
Employed |
65,292 | 65,843 | 66,172 | 65,546 | 65,672 | 65,805 | 65,639 | 65,555 | 66,349 |
|
Employment-population ratio |
53.1 | 53.2 | 52.7 | 53.3 | 53.2 | 53.2 | 53.1 | 53.0 | 52.9 |
|
Unemployed |
6,141 | 5,511 | 6,015 | 6,100 | 6,190 | 6,052 | 5,957 | 5,959 | 5,977 |
|
Unemployment rate |
8.6 | 7.7 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
|
Not in labor force |
51,443 | 52,398 | 53,274 | 51,230 | 51,650 | 51,748 | 52,090 | 52,238 | 53,135 |
|
Women, 20 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population |
114,637 | 115,602 | 117,082 | 114,637 | 115,338 | 115,437 | 115,526 | 115,602 | 117,082 |
|
Civilian labor force |
68,842 | 68,746 | 69,513 | 68,843 | 68,989 | 68,981 | 68,711 | 68,748 | 69,449 |
|
Participation rate |
60.1 | 59.5 | 59.4 | 60.1 | 59.8 | 59.8 | 59.5 | 59.5 | 59.3 |
|
Employed |
63,300 | 63,676 | 64,062 | 63,403 | 63,406 | 63,520 | 63,352 | 63,323 | 64,078 |
|
Employment-population ratio |
55.2 | 55.1 | 54.7 | 55.3 | 55.0 | 55.0 | 54.8 | 54.8 | 54.7 |
|
Unemployed |
5,542 | 5,070 | 5,451 | 5,440 | 5,584 | 5,461 | 5,359 | 5,425 | 5,370 |
|
Unemployment rate |
8.1 | 7.4 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 8.1 | 7.9 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 7.7 |
|
Not in labor force |
45,795 | 46,856 | 47,569 | 45,794 | 46,349 | 46,457 | 46,815 | 46,854 | 47,634 |
|
Both sexes, 16 to 19 years: Civilian noninstitutional population |
16,863 | 16,693 | 17,100 | 16,863 | 16,739 | 16,728 | 16,711 | 16,693 | 17,100 |
|
Civilian labor force |
5,348 | 5,339 | 5,262 | 5,813 | 5,774 | 5,785 | 5,786 | 5,704 | 5,713 |
|
Participation rate |
31.7 | 32.0 | 30.8 | 34.5 | 34.5 | 34.6 | 34.6 | 34.2 | 33.4 |
|
Employed |
3,939 | 4,193 | 3,990 | 4,334 | 4,362 | 4,398 | 4,416 | 4,387 | 4,389 |
|
Employment-population ratio |
23.4 | 25.1 | 23.3 | 25.7 | 26.1 | 26.3 | 26.4 | 26.3 | 25.7 |
|
Unemployed |
1,409 | 1,146 | 1,272 | 1,479 | 1,412 | 1,386 | 1,370 | 1,316 | 1,324 |
|
Unemployment rate |
26.3 | 21.5 | 24.2 | 25.4 | 24.5 | 24.0 | 23.7 | 23.1 | 23.2 |
|
Not in labor force |
11,516 | 11,354 | 11,837 | 11,050 | 10,965 | 10,943 | 10,925 | 10,989 | 11,387 |
|
Footnotes |
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NOTE: Updated population controls are introduced annually with the release of January data. |
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Table A-15. Alternative measures of labor underutilization: Measure |
Not seasonally adjusted | Seasonally adjusted | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Jan. 2011 |
Dec. 2011 |
Jan. 2012 |
Jan. 2011 |
Sept. 2011 |
Oct. 2011 |
Nov. 2011 |
Dec. 2011 |
Jan. 2012 |
|
|
U-1 Persons unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force |
5.6 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 |
|
U-2 Job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, as a percent of the civilian labor force |
6.2 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 4.7 |
|
U-3 Total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force (official unemployment rate) |
9.8 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.5 | 8.3 |
|
U-4 Total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers |
10.4 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.3 | 9.1 | 8.9 |
|
U-5 Total unemployed, plus discouraged workers, plus all other persons marginally attached to the labor force, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force |
11.4 | 9.8 | 10.5 | 10.7 | 10.5 | 10.4 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 9.9 |
|
U-6 Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force |
17.3 | 15.2 | 16.2 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 16.0 | 15.6 | 15.2 | 15.1 |
|
NOTE: Persons marginally attached to the labor force are those who currently are neither working nor looking for work but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work sometime in the past 12 months. Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached, have given a job-market related reason for not currently looking for work. Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work but have had to settle for a part-time schedule. Updated population controls are introduced annually with the release of January data. |
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| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Annual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 6.0 | |
| 2003 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 5.7 | |
| 2004 | 5.7 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.4 | |
| 2005 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 4.9 | |
| 2006 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | |
| 2007 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 5.0 | |
| 2008 | 5.0 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 7.3 | |
| 2009 | 7.8 | 8.3 | 8.7 | 8.9 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.8 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 9.9 | |
| 2010 | 9.7 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.6 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 9.8 | 9.4 | |
| 2011 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 8.7 | 8.5 | |
| 2012 | 8.3 |



