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JobsGate - 100.6 Million Unemployed Americans Marginalized

Published by Charlene on 03 February 2012.

If you gave up hope of a job you are one of 100,663 million Americans out of a job, yet labor department reports "unemployment rate" dropped. Who's tweeking the numbers here? Look at the numbers below and see how the JOBSGATE trick works...

Technically the numbers aren't really fudged the correct numbers are in plain view, but the state-run media backing the Obama Administration only picks and chooses which numbers they like best. The real unemployment number climed by more than 2.3 million more Americans "dropped" out or "not in workforce" in January 2012. Why aren't those people being counted. I'm sure when the vote comes on November 8, Obama and all the politicians running for the Whitehouse would want them counted. Why 100.6 million Americans are not being counted? Here is your answer from DOL and raw data below... Of the 242,269 million working-age-able-bodied Americans only 63.7 percent are counted as part of the labor force, 154,395 million, but only 58.5 percent of this group are currently either counted as "employed" or "unemployed". The rest, 87,854 millions are labelled as "not in labor force." Therefore, the real unemployment number is 41.5 percent, just from the raw data below. Why don't the media tell this story instead, as one of the 41.5 percenter, I feel very marginalized and insignificant.

You see the "official unemployment number" - jobsgate, is achieved by doing this simple math... as people stop looking for work they are pushed into the group "not in labor force." So now the number of people being counted as participating in the job economy is lowered, that is what is driving the "official" number down. Don't think for once that it means more people are getting jobs - it is the exact opposite, in this case it means more and more Americans are loosing jobs and are no longer qualified for unemployment inusurance benefit - so the government no longer counts them as part of the job market. How can you stomach this..., I can't, that is why I publish these numbers here for you to see for yourselves.

What this means is that the closer you get to November 8, more Americans are going to run out of their 99 weeks unemployment benefits and dropped into the "not in labor force" bucket - the result will be a lower "official unemployment rate." What you need to watch out for is the table below that lists all the population numbers. As you can see below the "civilian labor force" continues to decline at a greater pace than the growth of people being born and growing up to 20 years of age.

In order for unemployment situation to get better, more jobs has to be created than the number of people running out of unemployment checks. The numbers below indicate that in January only 847,000 people got new jobs. While over 1,177,000 dropped out of the system into the deadend bucket labeled "not in labor force." That's a net decline of 330,000 people who are no longer even looking for work and have lost all government benefits. You can see this trend month after month.

We've been at the statistical point in the unemployment problem where the "official number" can go nowhere but down since it peaked in April 2010 at 9.9 percent. See the last table below for the last 10 years of "official unemployment" reported by the government. From April 2010 to January 2012, there has been a steady decline in the percent, while millions more Americans have been loosing their jobs. The key here is to understand that this is all a mathematical trick. Never go by the percentage. Go by the raw numbers and you can never be deceived. Percentages were invented to give perspective and correlate, but percentages don't tell the truth. Don't get me started on this topic... Just pay attention to how many of your family, fans, and friends are out of work. The mainstream media should be ashamed of itself for not telling the truth.

Just as new jobs affect the unemployment rate, the number of people dropping out of the work force also affects the unemployment rate. What business could survive by just looking at just one side of the balance sheet? In this case the lower "official" number has been for the last year been impacted at a greater proportion by people dropping off or running out of unemployment benefits. This downward trend will continue, unless Obama extend the unemployment benefits pass 99 weeks.

For instance, lets count 99 weeks backwards. That is 99 divided by 52 equals just under 2 years. So all the people who lost their jobs since 2009 and have not yet found work are going to be dropped from the system gradually over the next couple months. Since unemployment peaked back in April 2010, when the "offical" number was being no longer affected by job growth, but rather labor force reduction, the news media should have been following that side of the cycle. You continue to hear them focus on new jobs, no one is focusing the issue of greater impact which is those workers who are loosing benefits and hope of a new job. I think I've made my point. What side of the cycle are you on.

"Persons marginally attached to the labor force are those who currently are neither working nor looking for work but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work sometime in the past 12 months. Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached, have given a job-market related reason for not currently looking for work. Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work but have had to settle for a part-time schedule. Updated population controls are introduced annually with the release of January data." http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t01.htm

 
Table A-1. Employment status of the civilian population by sex and age:
Employment status, sex, and age
Not seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted(1)
Jan.
2011
Dec.
2011
Jan.
2012
Jan.
2011
Sept.
2011
Oct.
2011
Nov.
2011
Dec.
2011
Jan.
2012
   

TOTAL: Civilian noninstitutional population

238,704 240,584 242,269 238,704 240,071 240,269 240,441 240,584 242,269

Civilian labor force

152,536 153,373 153,485 153,250 154,004 154,057 153,937 153,887 154,395

Participation rate

63.9 63.8 63.4 64.2 64.1 64.1 64.0 64.0 63.7

Employed

137,599 140,681 139,944 139,330 140,107 140,297 140,614 140,790 141,637

Employment-population ratio

57.6 58.5 57.8 58.4 58.4 58.4 58.5 58.5 58.5

Unemployed

14,937 12,692 13,541 13,919 13,897 13,759 13,323 13,097 12,758

Unemployment rate

9.8 8.3 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.3

Not in labor force

86,168 87,212 88,784 85,454 86,067 86,213 86,503 86,697 87,874

Persons who currently want a job

6,643 6,135 6,495 6,412 6,240 6,407 6,595 6,385 6,319
 
   

Men, 16 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population

115,828 116,832 116,808 115,828 116,559 116,664 116,755 116,832 116,808

Civilian labor force

81,103 82,019 81,298 81,604 82,142 82,199 82,341 82,373 82,070

Participation rate

70.0 70.2 69.6 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.5 70.3

Employed

72,307 74,837 73,772 73,785 74,435 74,492 74,975 75,235 75,288

Employment-population ratio

62.4 64.1 63.2 63.7 63.9 63.9 64.2 64.4 64.5

Unemployed

8,796 7,181 7,526 7,819 7,707 7,707 7,366 7,138 6,781

Unemployment rate

10.8 8.8 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.4 8.9 8.7 8.3

Not in labor force

34,725 34,813 35,510 34,224 34,417 34,465 34,414 34,459 34,739
 
   

Men, 20 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population

107,203 108,290 108,087 107,203 107,994 108,104 108,203 108,290 108,087

Civilian labor force

78,346 79,288 78,710 78,594 79,241 79,291 79,440 79,436 79,234

Participation rate

73.1 73.2 72.8 73.3 73.4 73.3 73.4 73.4 73.3

Employed

70,360 72,812 71,892 71,593 72,340 72,379 72,846 73,080 73,170

Employment-population ratio

65.6 67.2 66.5 66.8 67.0 67.0 67.3 67.5 67.7

Unemployed

7,986 6,477 6,818 7,001 6,901 6,912 6,594 6,356 6,064

Unemployment rate

10.2 8.2 8.7 8.9 8.7 8.7 8.3 8.0 7.7

Not in labor force

28,857 29,001 29,377 28,609 28,753 28,813 28,763 28,854 28,853
 
   

Women, 16 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population

122,876 123,753 125,461 122,876 123,512 123,605 123,686 123,753 125,461

Civilian labor force

71,433 71,354 72,187 71,646 71,862 71,858 71,596 71,514 72,326

Participation rate

58.1 57.7 57.5 58.3 58.2 58.1 57.9 57.8 57.6

Employed

65,292 65,843 66,172 65,546 65,672 65,805 65,639 65,555 66,349

Employment-population ratio

53.1 53.2 52.7 53.3 53.2 53.2 53.1 53.0 52.9

Unemployed

6,141 5,511 6,015 6,100 6,190 6,052 5,957 5,959 5,977

Unemployment rate

8.6 7.7 8.3 8.5 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.3 8.3

Not in labor force

51,443 52,398 53,274 51,230 51,650 51,748 52,090 52,238 53,135
 
   

Women, 20 years and over: Civilian noninstitutional population

114,637 115,602 117,082 114,637 115,338 115,437 115,526 115,602 117,082

Civilian labor force

68,842 68,746 69,513 68,843 68,989 68,981 68,711 68,748 69,449

Participation rate

60.1 59.5 59.4 60.1 59.8 59.8 59.5 59.5 59.3

Employed

63,300 63,676 64,062 63,403 63,406 63,520 63,352 63,323 64,078

Employment-population ratio

55.2 55.1 54.7 55.3 55.0 55.0 54.8 54.8 54.7

Unemployed

5,542 5,070 5,451 5,440 5,584 5,461 5,359 5,425 5,370

Unemployment rate

8.1 7.4 7.8 7.9 8.1 7.9 7.8 7.9 7.7

Not in labor force

45,795 46,856 47,569 45,794 46,349 46,457 46,815 46,854 47,634
 
   

Both sexes, 16 to 19 years: Civilian noninstitutional population

16,863 16,693 17,100 16,863 16,739 16,728 16,711 16,693 17,100

Civilian labor force

5,348 5,339 5,262 5,813 5,774 5,785 5,786 5,704 5,713

Participation rate

31.7 32.0 30.8 34.5 34.5 34.6 34.6 34.2 33.4

Employed

3,939 4,193 3,990 4,334 4,362 4,398 4,416 4,387 4,389

Employment-population ratio

23.4 25.1 23.3 25.7 26.1 26.3 26.4 26.3 25.7

Unemployed

1,409 1,146 1,272 1,479 1,412 1,386 1,370 1,316 1,324

Unemployment rate

26.3 21.5 24.2 25.4 24.5 24.0 23.7 23.1 23.2

Not in labor force

11,516 11,354 11,837 11,050 10,965 10,943 10,925 10,989 11,387

Footnotes
The population figures are not adjusted for seasonal variation; therefore, identical numbers appear in the unadjusted and seasonally adjusted columns.

NOTE: Updated population controls are introduced annually with the release of January data.

  

 

Table A-15. Alternative measures of labor underutilization: Measure

Not seasonally adjusted Seasonally adjusted
Jan.
2011
Dec.
2011
Jan.
2012
Jan.
2011
Sept.
2011
Oct.
2011
Nov.
2011
Dec.
2011
Jan.
2012

U-1 Persons unemployed 15 weeks or longer, as a percent of the civilian labor force

5.6 4.8 4.9 5.5 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9

U-2 Job losers and persons who completed temporary jobs, as a percent of the civilian labor force

6.2 5.0 5.4 5.5 5.2 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.7

U-3 Total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force (official unemployment rate)

9.8 8.3 8.8 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.3

U-4 Total unemployed plus discouraged workers, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus discouraged workers

10.4 8.8 9.4 9.7 9.6 9.5 9.3 9.1 8.9

U-5 Total unemployed, plus discouraged workers, plus all other persons marginally attached to the labor force, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force

11.4 9.8 10.5 10.7 10.5 10.4 10.2 10.0 9.9

U-6 Total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force

17.3 15.2 16.2 16.1 16.4 16.0 15.6 15.2 15.1

NOTE: Persons marginally attached to the labor force are those who currently are neither working nor looking for work but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work sometime in the past 12 months. Discouraged workers, a subset of the marginally attached, have given a job-market related reason for not currently looking for work. Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work but have had to settle for a part-time schedule. Updated population controls are introduced annually with the release of January data.
 

  

 
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
2002 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.9 6.0  
2003 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.8 5.7  
2004 5.7 5.6 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.4  
2005 5.3 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.9  
2006 4.7 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.4  
2007 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 5.0  
2008 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.0 5.4 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.1 6.5 6.8 7.3  
2009 7.8 8.3 8.7 8.9 9.4 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.8 10.0 9.9 9.9  
2010 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.8 9.4  
2011 9.1 9.0 8.9 9.0 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.9 8.7 8.5  
2012 8.3                        

 

 

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